EDGEAI

MLBmatchup dossier matchup dossier

+1.7

11 of 14 Washington Nationals hitters facing Casey Mize have more signals for them than against, 1 more against, averaging -0.3 a hitter — -0.2 on the power signals and -0.3 on the contact signals, so this leans more toward base hits than damage. Casey Mize and Petco Park add +2 on top, counted once for the whole lineup rather than once per hitter. Tonight's lineup is not posted yet, so this covers the full roster rather than the starting nine. This counts how many independent signals agree — it is not a probability and has not been graded against results.

Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026

11 of 14 Washington Nationals hitters facing Casey Mize have more signals for them than against, 1 more against, averaging -0.3 a hitter — -0.2 on the power signals and -0.3 on the contact signals, so this leans more toward base hits than damage. Casey Mize and Petco Park add +2 on top, counted once for the whole lineup rather than once per hitter. Tonight's lineup is not posted yet, so this covers the full roster rather than the starting nine. This counts how many independent signals agree — it is not a probability and has not been graded against results.

THE NUMBERS

angle
matchup_dossier
game pk
823250
matchup
Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres
venue
Petco Park
lineups posted
false
pitcher id
663554
pitcher name
Casey Mize
throws
R
lineup team
Washington Nationals
hitters evaluated
14
lineup lean
-0.3
context lean
2
total lean
1.7
power lean
-0.2
contact lean
-0.3
favoring
11
against
1
direction
lineup
headline
+1.7
detail
11 of 14 Washington Nationals hitters facing Casey Mize have more signals for them than against, 1 more against, averaging -0.3 a hitter — -0.2 on the power signals and -0.3 on the contact signals, so this leans more toward base hits than damage. Casey Mize and Petco Park add +2 on top, counted once for the whole lineup rather than once per hitter. Tonight's lineup is not posted yet, so this covers the full roster rather than the starting nine. This counts how many independent signals agree — it is not a probability and has not been graded against results.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.