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MLBhr watch

Nolan Arenado

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

4 in his last 5, 5 in his last 10, 8 in his last 15 (0.59 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.2 on the season). Walker Buehler has allowed 6 HR in 22.5 IP over his last 5 starts (2.40 HR/9), against 1.93 on the season — worse lately. Against Walker Buehler he is 7-for-38 (.184) with 2 home runs — a 38-at-bat sample.

THE NUMBERS

rank
1
player id
571448
player name
Nolan Arenado
team
Arizona Diamondbacks
match
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
odds
+600
odds source
market
season hr
30
hr rate per game
0.2
hr in last10
5
hr in last15
8
opposing pitcher
Walker Buehler
opposing pitcher era
4.71
park factor
105
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Walker Buehler: Nolan Arenado is 7-38 (.184) with 2 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 7.1% barrel rate, 31.2% hard-hit across 586 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
96
barrel rate
7.1
hard hit rate
31.2
batted ball line
27.7% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.57
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 387 AB (0.447 SLG over 435 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.4
opposing pitcher hr line
Walker Buehler has allowed 6 HR in 22.5 IP over his last 5 starts (2.40 HR/9), against 1.93 on the season — worse lately.
line
30 HR this season (0.2/game) · 5 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.