Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 26.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.10 HR/9), against 2.44 on the season — worse lately. Against left-handers this season: 8 HR in 117 AB (0.564 SLG over 144 PA). 7 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.13 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

575929

player name

Willson Contreras

team

Boston Red Sox

match

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

odds

+750

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.21

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Ian Seymour

opposing pitcher era

4.62

park factor

104

statcast line

Statcast: 13.4% barrel rate, 44% hard-hit across 533 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

67.6

barrel rate

13.4

hard hit rate

batted ball line

28.5% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 44% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 55% on the season.

air out rate

0.554

platoon line

Against left-handers this season: 8 HR in 117 AB (0.564 SLG over 144 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

3.1

opposing pitcher hr line

Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 26.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.10 HR/9), against 2.44 on the season — worse lately.

line

27 HR this season (0.21/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.