EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Manny Machado
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately. Against Kevin Gausman he is 9-for-25 (.360) with 2 home runs — a 25-at-bat sample. Against right-handers this season: 25 HR in 449 AB (0.410 SLG over 517 PA).
THE NUMBERS
rank
2
player id
592518
player name
Manny Machado
team
San Diego Padres
match
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
odds
+455
odds source
market
season hr
30
hr rate per game
0.19
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Kevin Gausman
opposing pitcher era
4.63
park factor
105
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Kevin Gausman: Manny Machado is 9-25 (.360) with 2 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 9.7% barrel rate, 43.6% hard-hit across 677 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
81.7
barrel rate
9.7
hard hit rate
43.6
batted ball line
28.5% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 65% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 53% on the season.
air out rate
0.534
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 25 HR in 449 AB (0.410 SLG over 517 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.73
opposing pitcher hr line
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.
line
30 HR this season (0.19/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.