EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
J.T. Realmuto
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Zac Thornton has allowed 8 HR in 28.0 IP over his last 5 starts (2.57 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 15.8% barrels, 87.6 mph average exit velocity, 31.6% fly balls across 38 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 11.5% barrels, 90.6 mph average exit velocity, 36.5% fly balls across 52 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
14
player id
592663
player name
J.T. Realmuto
team
Philadelphia Phillies
match
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
odds
+650
odds source
market
season hr
11
hr rate per game
0.1
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
2
opposing pitcher
Zac Thornton
opposing pitcher era
3.48
park factor
101
statcast line
Statcast: 5.7% barrel rate, 40.5% hard-hit across 434 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
46.6
barrel rate
5.7
hard hit rate
40.5
batted ball line
26.8% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 55% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 50% on the season.
air out rate
0.502
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 2 HR in 96 AB (0.292 SLG over 113 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.57
opposing pitcher hr line
Zac Thornton has allowed 8 HR in 28.0 IP over his last 5 starts (2.57 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately.
line
11 HR this season (0.1/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.