EDGEAI

MLBhr watch

Xander Bogaerts

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers

Published Sunday, October 4, 2026

1 in his last 5, 2 in his last 10, 2 in his last 15 (0.19 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.08 on the season). Tonight's park carries a 103 home run factor. 42.3% of his batted balls leave at 95+ mph, against a league rate near 39%.

THE NUMBERS

rank
14
player id
593428
player name
Xander Bogaerts
team
San Diego Padres
match
San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers
odds
+900
odds source
market
season hr
13
hr rate per game
0.08
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
2
opposing pitcher
Logan Henderson
opposing pitcher era
2.49
park factor
103
statcast line
Statcast: 5.5% barrel rate, 42.3% hard-hit across 606 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
-4.5
barrel rate
5.5
hard hit rate
42.3
batted ball line
23.3% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 32% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 44% on the season.
air out rate
0.443
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 12 HR in 381 AB (0.357 SLG over 448 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.24
opposing pitcher hr line
Logan Henderson has allowed 4 HR in 29.0 IP over his last 5 starts (1.24 HR/9).
line
13 HR this season (0.08/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.