Xander Bogaerts

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately. Against Dustin May he is 3-for-16 (.188) with 1 home run — a 16-at-bat sample. 3 home runs in his last 4 starts (2.06 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

593428

player name

Xander Bogaerts

team

San Diego Padres

match

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

odds

+980

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.08

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Dustin May

opposing pitcher era

4.8

park factor

105

career vs pitcher line

Career vs Dustin May: Xander Bogaerts is 3-16 (.188) with 1 HR.

statcast line

Statcast: 5.5% barrel rate, 42.3% hard-hit across 606 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

27.8

barrel rate

5.5

hard hit rate

42.3

batted ball line

23.3% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 32% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 44% on the season.

air out rate

0.443

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 12 HR in 381 AB (0.357 SLG over 448 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.21

opposing pitcher hr line

Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately.

line

13 HR this season (0.08/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.