Alex Bregman

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Published Saturday, September 19, 2026

Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 24.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.59 HR/9), against 1.71 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 13.6% barrels, 88.9 mph average exit velocity, 30.3% fly balls across 66 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against left-handers this season: 7 HR in 138 AB (0.478 SLG over 169 PA).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

608324

player name

Alex Bregman

team

Chicago Cubs

match

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

odds

+475

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.17

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Nick Lodolo

opposing pitcher era

5.26

park factor

118

statcast line

Statcast: 6.2% barrel rate, 37.5% hard-hit across 681 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

68.1

barrel rate

6.2

hard hit rate

37.5

batted ball line

27.7% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

air out rate

0.591

platoon line

Against left-handers this season: 7 HR in 138 AB (0.478 SLG over 169 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.59

opposing pitcher hr line

Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 24.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.59 HR/9), against 1.71 on the season — worse lately.

line

26 HR this season (0.17/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.