EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Alex Bregman
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Over his last 21 days: 16.2% barrels, 90.1 mph average exit velocity, 32.4% fly balls across 37 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 2 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.37 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.18 on the season). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 13.2% barrels, 91.2 mph average exit velocity, 39.5% fly balls across 38 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
9
player id
608324
player name
Alex Bregman
team
Chicago Cubs
match
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
odds
+600
odds source
market
season hr
28
hr rate per game
0.18
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Nick Pivetta
opposing pitcher era
2.89
park factor
105
statcast line
Statcast: 6.4% barrel rate, 37.7% hard-hit across 702 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
53.8
barrel rate
6.4
hard hit rate
37.7
batted ball line
27.7% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 65% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 59% on the season.
air out rate
0.593
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 21 HR in 462 AB (0.461 SLG over 523 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
0.85
opposing pitcher hr line
Nick Pivetta has allowed 2 HR in 21.2 IP over his last 5 starts (0.85 HR/9).
line
28 HR this season (0.18/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.