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MLBhr watch

Matt Olson

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Andrew Abbott has allowed 6 HR in 19.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately. Against left-handers this season: 15 HR in 252 AB (0.488 SLG over 275 PA). 1 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 3 in his last 15 (0.2 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.25 on the season).

THE NUMBERS

rank
11
player id
621566
player name
Matt Olson
team
Atlanta Braves
match
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves
odds
+370
odds source
market
season hr
40
hr rate per game
0.25
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Andrew Abbott
opposing pitcher era
4.8
park factor
96
statcast line
Statcast: 14.4% barrel rate, 51.6% hard-hit across 675 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
79.8
barrel rate
14.4
hard hit rate
51.6
batted ball line
34.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 49% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 57% on the season.
air out rate
0.566
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 15 HR in 252 AB (0.488 SLG over 275 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.81
opposing pitcher hr line
Andrew Abbott has allowed 6 HR in 19.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately.
line
40 HR this season (0.25/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.