EDGEAI

MLBhr watch

Kyle Schwarber

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

Zac Thornton has allowed 8 HR in 28.0 IP over his last 5 starts (2.57 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately. 1 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 5 in his last 15 (0.29 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.31 on the season). Against left-handers this season: 15 HR in 203 AB (0.532 SLG over 242 PA).

THE NUMBERS

rank
2
player id
656941
player name
Kyle Schwarber
team
Philadelphia Phillies
match
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
odds
+300
odds source
market
season hr
45
hr rate per game
0.31
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
5
opposing pitcher
Zac Thornton
opposing pitcher era
3.48
park factor
101
statcast line
Statcast: 16.3% barrel rate, 49.6% hard-hit across 660 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
82.7
barrel rate
16.3
hard hit rate
49.6
batted ball line
32.8% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.605
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 15 HR in 203 AB (0.532 SLG over 242 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.57
opposing pitcher hr line
Zac Thornton has allowed 8 HR in 28.0 IP over his last 5 starts (2.57 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately.
line
45 HR this season (0.31/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.