EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves
Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Andrew Abbott has allowed 6 HR in 19.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately. 2 in his last 5, 4 in his last 10, 5 in his last 15 (0.35 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.19 on the season). 6 home runs in his last 4 starts (4.09 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).
THE NUMBERS
rank
12
player id
660670
player name
Ronald Acuña Jr.
team
Atlanta Braves
match
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves
odds
+425
odds source
market
season hr
20
hr rate per game
0.19
hr in last10
4
hr in last15
5
opposing pitcher
Andrew Abbott
opposing pitcher era
4.8
park factor
96
statcast line
Statcast: 12.8% barrel rate, 43.9% hard-hit across 454 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
75.8
barrel rate
12.8
hard hit rate
43.9
batted ball line
27.7% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 60% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 54% on the season.
air out rate
0.536
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 5 HR in 122 AB (0.418 SLG over 143 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.81
opposing pitcher hr line
Andrew Abbott has allowed 6 HR in 19.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately.
line
20 HR this season (0.19/game) · 4 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.