EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
William Contreras
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Over the last 21 days he has allowed 11.5% barrels, 92 mph average exit velocity, 42.3% fly balls across 26 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 0 in his last 5, 1 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.19 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.12 on the season). Tonight's park carries a 105 home run factor.
THE NUMBERS
rank
13
player id
661388
player name
William Contreras
team
Milwaukee Brewers
match
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
odds
+650
odds source
market
season hr
18
hr rate per game
0.12
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Nick Pivetta
opposing pitcher era
2.89
park factor
105
statcast line
Statcast: 8.5% barrel rate, 44.1% hard-hit across 640 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
10.1
barrel rate
8.5
hard hit rate
44.1
batted ball line
25.6% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 66% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 56% on the season.
air out rate
0.564
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 14 HR in 408 AB (0.422 SLG over 457 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
0.85
opposing pitcher hr line
Nick Pivetta has allowed 2 HR in 21.2 IP over his last 5 starts (0.85 HR/9).
line
18 HR this season (0.12/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.