Austin Riley

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs

Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Kevin Gausman has allowed 7 HR in 27.1 IP over his last 5 starts (2.32 HR/9), against 1.62 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 11.6% barrels, 90.6 mph average exit velocity, 27.9% fly balls across 43 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against Kevin Gausman he is 4-for-9 (.444) with 1 home run — a 9-at-bat sample.

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

663586

player name

Austin Riley

team

Atlanta Braves

match

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs

odds

+475

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.11

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Kevin Gausman

opposing pitcher era

4.7

park factor

101

career vs pitcher line

Career vs Kevin Gausman: Austin Riley is 4-9 (.444) with 1 HR.

statcast line

Statcast: 12% barrel rate, 44.7% hard-hit across 586 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

barrel rate

hard hit rate

44.7

batted ball line

30.1% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

air out rate

0.619

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 15 HR in 377 AB (0.385 SLG over 414 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.32

opposing pitcher hr line

Kevin Gausman has allowed 7 HR in 27.1 IP over his last 5 starts (2.32 HR/9), against 1.62 on the season — worse lately.

line

17 HR this season (0.11/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.