Austin Riley

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Published Friday, September 25, 2026

Eury Pérez has allowed 7 HR in 20.4 IP over his last 5 starts (3.09 HR/9), against 0.89 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 20% barrels, 90.3 mph average exit velocity, 22.5% fly balls across 40 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 2 in his last 5, 2 in his last 10, 3 in his last 15 (0.28 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.12 on the season).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

663586

player name

Austin Riley

team

Atlanta Braves

match

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

odds

+525

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.12

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Eury Pérez

opposing pitcher era

4.23

park factor

statcast line

Statcast: 12.6% barrel rate, 44.1% hard-hit across 618 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

77.4

barrel rate

12.6

hard hit rate

44.1

batted ball line

29.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

air out rate

0.618

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 16 HR in 395 AB (0.382 SLG over 435 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

3.09

opposing pitcher hr line

Eury Pérez has allowed 7 HR in 20.4 IP over his last 5 starts (3.09 HR/9), against 0.89 on the season — worse lately.

line

19 HR this season (0.12/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.