Nick Fortes

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Published Saturday, October 3, 2026

Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 27.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.96 HR/9), against 1.54 on the season — worse lately. 9 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.63 per nine, against a league average near 1.25). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 11.1% barrels, 91.7 mph average exit velocity, 24.4% fly balls across 45 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

663743

player name

Nick Fortes

team

Tampa Bay Rays

match

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

odds

+340

odds source

estimated

season hr

hr rate per game

0.06

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Gerrit Cole

opposing pitcher era

3.7

park factor

104

statcast line

Statcast: 2.4% barrel rate, 35.4% hard-hit across 323 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

32.5

barrel rate

2.4

hard hit rate

35.4

batted ball line

17.1% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

air out rate

0.47

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 4 HR in 151 AB (0.391 SLG over 158 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.96

opposing pitcher hr line

Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 27.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.96 HR/9), against 1.54 on the season — worse lately.

line

6 HR this season (0.06/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.