Ian Happ

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Published Saturday, September 19, 2026

Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 24.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.59 HR/9), against 1.71 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 12.1% barrels, 91.4 mph average exit velocity, 24.2% fly balls across 33 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against Nick Lodolo he is 8-for-25 (.320) with 1 home run — a 25-at-bat sample.

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

664023

player name

Ian Happ

team

Chicago Cubs

match

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

odds

+260

odds source

estimated

season hr

hr rate per game

0.16

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Nick Lodolo

opposing pitcher era

5.26

park factor

118

career vs pitcher line

Career vs Nick Lodolo: Ian Happ is 8-25 (.320) with 1 HR.

statcast line

Statcast: 11.5% barrel rate, 42.5% hard-hit across 602 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

64.7

barrel rate

11.5

hard hit rate

42.5

batted ball line

32.6% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 65% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 54% on the season.

air out rate

0.535

platoon line

Against left-handers this season: 4 HR in 128 AB (0.273 SLG over 141 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.59

opposing pitcher hr line

Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 24.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.59 HR/9), against 1.71 on the season — worse lately.

line

24 HR this season (0.16/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.