Brandon Lowe

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Published Thursday, September 17, 2026

Kyle Harrison has allowed 10 HR in 20.6 IP over his last 5 starts (4.37 HR/9), against 2.21 on the season — worse lately. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 20.5% barrels, 90.7 mph average exit velocity, 25.6% fly balls across 39 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 2 in his last 5, 2 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.3 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.22 on the season).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

664040

player name

Brandon Lowe

team

Pittsburgh Pirates

match

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

odds

+220

odds source

estimated

season hr

hr rate per game

0.22

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Kyle Harrison

opposing pitcher era

3.77

park factor

statcast line

Statcast: 11.6% barrel rate, 45.2% hard-hit across 617 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

81.1

barrel rate

11.6

hard hit rate

45.2

batted ball line

34.1% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

air out rate

0.57

platoon line

Against left-handers this season: 7 HR in 177 AB (0.373 SLG over 193 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

4.37

opposing pitcher hr line

Kyle Harrison has allowed 10 HR in 20.6 IP over his last 5 starts (4.37 HR/9), against 2.21 on the season — worse lately.

line

31 HR this season (0.22/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.