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MLBhr watch

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Published Sunday, September 20, 2026

Over his last 21 days: 15.9% barrels, 93 mph average exit velocity, 25.4% fly balls across 63 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 2 in his last 5, 4 in his last 10, 5 in his last 15 (0.38 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.16 on the season). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 12.1% barrels, 91.9 mph average exit velocity, 37.9% fly balls across 58 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).

THE NUMBERS

rank
12
player id
665487
player name
Fernando Tatis Jr.
team
San Diego Padres
match
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres
odds
+420
odds source
market
season hr
24
hr rate per game
0.16
hr in last10
4
hr in last15
5
opposing pitcher
Sandy Alcantara
opposing pitcher era
3.9
park factor
105
statcast line
Statcast: 12.8% barrel rate, 53.7% hard-hit across 674 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
61.1
barrel rate
12.8
hard hit rate
53.7
batted ball line
21.3% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.439
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 15 HR in 466 AB (0.429 SLG over 520 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.6
opposing pitcher hr line
Sandy Alcantara has allowed 5 HR in 28.1 IP over his last 5 starts (1.60 HR/9), against 1.05 on the season — worse lately.
line
24 HR this season (0.16/game) · 4 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.