Fernando Tatis Jr.

Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 13.7% barrels, 93.1 mph average exit velocity, 25.5% fly balls across 51 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against Kevin Gausman he is 8-for-23 (.348) with 2 home runs — a 23-at-bat sample.

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

665487

player name

Fernando Tatis Jr.

team

San Diego Padres

match

Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

odds

+370

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.16

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Kevin Gausman

opposing pitcher era

4.63

park factor

105

career vs pitcher line

Career vs Kevin Gausman: Fernando Tatis Jr. is 8-23 (.348) with 2 HR.

statcast line

Statcast: 12.7% barrel rate, 53.9% hard-hit across 704 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

84.7

barrel rate

12.7

hard hit rate

53.9

batted ball line

21.1% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 39% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 44% on the season.

air out rate

0.441

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 16 HR in 487 AB (0.437 SLG over 543 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.73

opposing pitcher hr line

Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.

line

25 HR this season (0.16/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.