EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Over his last 21 days: 14.7% barrels, 91.7 mph average exit velocity, 26.5% fly balls across 34 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately. 0 in his last 5, 2 in his last 10, 5 in his last 15 (0.26 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.16 on the season).
THE NUMBERS
rank
1
player id
665487
player name
Fernando Tatis Jr.
team
San Diego Padres
match
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
odds
+525
odds source
market
season hr
25
hr rate per game
0.16
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
5
opposing pitcher
Dustin May
opposing pitcher era
4.8
park factor
105
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Dustin May: Fernando Tatis Jr. is 7-28 (.250) with 1 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 12.7% barrel rate, 53.9% hard-hit across 704 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
59.1
barrel rate
12.7
hard hit rate
53.9
batted ball line
21.1% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 39% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 44% on the season.
air out rate
0.441
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 16 HR in 487 AB (0.437 SLG over 543 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.21
opposing pitcher hr line
Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately.
line
25 HR this season (0.16/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.