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MLBhr watch
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
Published Monday, September 21, 2026
Over his last 21 days: 10.7% barrels, 93.9 mph average exit velocity, 21.4% fly balls across 56 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against Shane Baz he is 5-for-18 (.278) with 1 home run — a 18-at-bat sample. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 11.3% barrels, 89.2 mph average exit velocity, 35.8% fly balls across 53 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
12
player id
665489
player name
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
team
Toronto Blue Jays
match
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
odds
+600
odds source
market
season hr
9
hr rate per game
0.06
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
1
opposing pitcher
Shane Baz
opposing pitcher era
4.25
park factor
110
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Shane Baz: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 5-18 (.278) with 1 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 7% barrel rate, 44.6% hard-hit across 594 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
24.5
barrel rate
7
hard hit rate
44.6
batted ball line
19.3% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 41% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 49% on the season.
air out rate
0.487
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 5 HR in 401 AB (0.337 SLG over 445 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.4
opposing pitcher hr line
Shane Baz has allowed 4 HR in 25.7 IP over his last 5 starts (1.40 HR/9), against 0.78 on the season — worse lately.
line
9 HR this season (0.06/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.