Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

9 HR this season (0.13/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

665953

player name

Andrés Chaparro

team

Washington Nationals

match

Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

odds

+220

odds source

estimated

season hr

hr rate per game

0.13

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Casey Mize

opposing pitcher era

3.8

park factor

105

statcast line

Statcast: 12.7% barrel rate, 44.1% hard-hit across 187 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

72.9

barrel rate

12.7

hard hit rate

44.1

batted ball line

28% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 68% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 55% on the season.

air out rate

0.545

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 4 HR in 57 AB (0.579 SLG over 63 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.72

opposing pitcher hr line

Casey Mize has allowed 7 HR in 23.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.72 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.

line

9 HR this season (0.13/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.