EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds
21 HR this season (0.19/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
Published Wednesday, September 2, 2026
THE NUMBERS
rank
15
player id
668709
player name
JJ Bleday
team
Cincinnati Reds
match
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds
odds
+370
odds source
market
season hr
21
hr rate per game
0.19
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
1
opposing pitcher
Casey Mize
opposing pitcher era
3.6
park factor
118
statcast line
Statcast: 9.9% barrel rate, 39.7% hard-hit across 459 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
48.5
barrel rate
9.9
hard hit rate
39.7
batted ball line
33.4% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 77% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 70% on the season.
air out rate
0.697
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 16 HR in 290 AB (0.445 SLG over 347 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.42
opposing pitcher hr line
Casey Mize has allowed 6 HR in 22.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.42 HR/9), against 1.07 on the season — worse lately.
line
21 HR this season (0.19/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.