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MLBhr watch

Adley Rutschman

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 26.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.10 HR/9), against 2.44 on the season — worse lately. 7 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.13 per nine, against a league average near 1.25). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 12.8% barrels, 87.9 mph average exit velocity, 35.9% fly balls across 39 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).

THE NUMBERS

rank
11
player id
668939
player name
Adley Rutschman
team
Boston Red Sox
match
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
odds
+600
odds source
market
season hr
12
hr rate per game
0.13
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Ian Seymour
opposing pitcher era
4.62
park factor
104
statcast line
Statcast: 7.1% barrel rate, 39.1% hard-hit across 383 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
51.3
barrel rate
7.1
hard hit rate
39.1
batted ball line
31% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.559
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 3 HR in 91 AB (0.385 SLG over 103 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
3.1
opposing pitcher hr line
Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 26.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.10 HR/9), against 2.44 on the season — worse lately.
line
12 HR this season (0.13/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.