EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Austin Wells
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 25.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.23 HR/9), against 2.52 on the season — worse lately. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 16.7% barrels, 89.6 mph average exit velocity, 38.1% fly balls across 42 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Over his last 21 days: 10.3% barrels, 90.4 mph average exit velocity, 44.8% fly balls across 29 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
13
player id
669224
player name
Austin Wells
team
New York Yankees
match
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
odds
+600
odds source
market
season hr
13
hr rate per game
0.11
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Ian Seymour
opposing pitcher era
4.8
park factor
117
statcast line
Statcast: 7.4% barrel rate, 42.9% hard-hit across 378 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
75.6
barrel rate
7.4
hard hit rate
42.9
batted ball line
34.2% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 71% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 62% on the season.
air out rate
0.618
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 3 HR in 89 AB (0.247 SLG over 98 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
3.23
opposing pitcher hr line
Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 25.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.23 HR/9), against 2.52 on the season — worse lately.
line
13 HR this season (0.11/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.