EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Will Smith
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Published Thursday, September 24, 2026
Over the last 21 days he has allowed 14.3% barrels, 90.6 mph average exit velocity, 33.3% fly balls across 42 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 3 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.33 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.14 on the season). Against right-handers this season: 8 HR in 162 AB (0.475 SLG over 188 PA).
THE NUMBERS
rank
15
player id
669257
player name
Will Smith
team
Los Angeles Dodgers
match
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
odds
+425
odds source
market
season hr
10
hr rate per game
0.14
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Nick Pivetta
opposing pitcher era
3.3
park factor
126
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Nick Pivetta: Will Smith is 3-7 (.429) with 1 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 12.7% barrel rate, 40.2% hard-hit across 264 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
61.7
barrel rate
12.7
hard hit rate
40.2
batted ball line
40.7% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 64% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 71% on the season.
air out rate
0.712
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 8 HR in 162 AB (0.475 SLG over 188 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
0.82
opposing pitcher hr line
Nick Pivetta has allowed 2 HR in 22.0 IP over his last 5 starts (0.82 HR/9).
line
10 HR this season (0.14/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.