EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Will Smith
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Published Saturday, October 3, 2026
1 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.27 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.14 on the season). Tonight's park carries a 126 home run factor. 40.2% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 64% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 71% on the season.
THE NUMBERS
rank
9
player id
669257
player name
Will Smith
team
Los Angeles Dodgers
match
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
odds
+410
odds source
market
season hr
10
hr rate per game
0.14
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
4
park factor
126
statcast line
Statcast: 12.4% barrel rate, 41.2% hard-hit across 276 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
26
barrel rate
12.4
hard hit rate
41.2
batted ball line
40.2% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 64% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 71% on the season.
air out rate
0.714
line
10 HR this season (0.14/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.