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MLBhr watch

Will Smith

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Published Wednesday, October 14, 2026

1 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.27 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.14 on the season). Tonight's park carries a 126 home run factor. 40.2% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 64% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 71% on the season.

THE NUMBERS

rank
5
player id
669257
player name
Will Smith
team
Los Angeles Dodgers
match
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers
odds
+600
odds source
market
season hr
10
hr rate per game
0.14
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Robert Gasser
opposing pitcher era
4.12
park factor
126
statcast line
Statcast: 12.4% barrel rate, 41.2% hard-hit across 276 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
8.4
barrel rate
12.4
hard hit rate
41.2
batted ball line
40.2% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 64% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 71% on the season.
air out rate
0.714
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 2 HR in 68 AB (0.279 SLG over 83 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
0.68
opposing pitcher hr line
Robert Gasser has allowed 2 HR in 26.3 IP over his last 5 starts (0.68 HR/9).
line
10 HR this season (0.14/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.