EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Jake Burger
New York Mets vs Texas Rangers
Published Thursday, September 24, 2026
Over his last 21 days: 18.4% barrels, 91 mph average exit velocity, 39.5% fly balls across 38 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 14.5% barrels, 90 mph average exit velocity, 40% fly balls across 55 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Zac Thornton has allowed 7 HR in 29.0 IP over his last 5 starts (2.17 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately.
THE NUMBERS
rank
6
player id
669394
player name
Jake Burger
team
Texas Rangers
match
New York Mets vs Texas Rangers
odds
+575
odds source
market
season hr
27
hr rate per game
0.18
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Zac Thornton
opposing pitcher era
3.44
park factor
94
statcast line
Statcast: 12.4% barrel rate, 46.2% hard-hit across 600 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
87
barrel rate
12.4
hard hit rate
46.2
batted ball line
28.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.527
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 12 HR in 147 AB (0.565 SLG over 166 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.17
opposing pitcher hr line
Zac Thornton has allowed 7 HR in 29.0 IP over his last 5 starts (2.17 HR/9), against 1.49 on the season — worse lately.
line
27 HR this season (0.18/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.