EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Austin Hays
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately. Against Kevin Gausman he is 7-for-14 (.500) with 2 home runs — a 14-at-bat sample. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 13.3% barrels, 91.1 mph average exit velocity, 15.6% fly balls across 45 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
12
player id
669720
player name
Austin Hays
team
San Diego Padres
match
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
odds
+300
odds source
estimated
season hr
3
hr rate per game
0.08
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
1
opposing pitcher
Kevin Gausman
opposing pitcher era
4.63
park factor
105
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Kevin Gausman: Austin Hays is 7-14 (.500) with 2 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 4.1% barrel rate, 41.9% hard-hit across 105 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
46.8
barrel rate
4.1
hard hit rate
41.9
batted ball line
14.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.73
opposing pitcher hr line
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.
line
3 HR this season (0.08/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.