Austin Hays

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately. 3 home runs in his last 4 starts (2.06 per nine, against a league average near 1.25). Tonight's park carries a 105 home run factor.

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

669720

player name

Austin Hays

team

San Diego Padres

match

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

odds

+380

odds source

estimated

season hr

hr rate per game

0.08

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Dustin May

opposing pitcher era

4.8

park factor

105

statcast line

Statcast: 4.1% barrel rate, 41.9% hard-hit across 105 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

12.3

barrel rate

4.1

hard hit rate

41.9

batted ball line

14.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.21

opposing pitcher hr line

Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately.

line

3 HR this season (0.08/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.