EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Yordan Alvarez
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
Published Thursday, September 17, 2026
Against right-handers this season: 29 HR in 377 AB (0.629 SLG over 475 PA). Over his last 21 days: 9.5% barrels, 92.8 mph average exit velocity, 35.7% fly balls across 42 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 1 in his last 5, 2 in his last 10, 3 in his last 15 (0.21 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.26 on the season).
THE NUMBERS
rank
15
player id
670541
player name
Yordan Alvarez
team
Houston Astros
match
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
odds
+250
odds source
market
season hr
39
hr rate per game
0.26
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Seth Lugo
opposing pitcher era
5.08
park factor
115
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Seth Lugo: Yordan Alvarez is 4-11 (.364) with 1 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 16.3% barrel rate, 53.2% hard-hit across 647 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
57.7
barrel rate
16.3
hard hit rate
53.2
batted ball line
37.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 59% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 65% on the season.
air out rate
0.651
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 29 HR in 377 AB (0.629 SLG over 475 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.12
opposing pitcher hr line
Seth Lugo has allowed 3 HR in 24.2 IP over his last 5 starts (1.12 HR/9).
line
39 HR this season (0.26/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.