EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Yordan Alvarez
Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros
Published Saturday, September 19, 2026
2 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 3 in his last 15 (0.26 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.27 on the season). Over his last 21 days: 11.1% barrels, 92.1 mph average exit velocity, 37.8% fly balls across 45 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against right-handers this season: 30 HR in 382 AB (0.639 SLG over 482 PA).
THE NUMBERS
rank
14
player id
670541
player name
Yordan Alvarez
team
Houston Astros
match
Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros
odds
+280
odds source
market
season hr
40
hr rate per game
0.27
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Grant Holmes
opposing pitcher era
3.68
park factor
115
statcast line
Statcast: 16.3% barrel rate, 53.2% hard-hit across 651 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
52.4
barrel rate
16.3
hard hit rate
53.2
batted ball line
38.1% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 54% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 65% on the season.
air out rate
0.651
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 30 HR in 382 AB (0.639 SLG over 482 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
0.38
opposing pitcher hr line
Grant Holmes has allowed 1 HR in 24.0 IP over his last 5 starts (0.38 HR/9), against 0.91 on the season — better lately.
line
40 HR this season (0.27/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.