EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Yordan Alvarez
Houston Astros vs Athletics
Published Friday, September 25, 2026
Jacob Lopez has allowed 7 HR in 22.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.61 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 12.5% barrels, 92.8 mph average exit velocity, 33.3% fly balls across 48 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 1 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.26 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.26 on the season).
THE NUMBERS
rank
1
player id
670541
player name
Yordan Alvarez
team
Houston Astros
match
Houston Astros vs Athletics
odds
+290
odds source
market
season hr
41
hr rate per game
0.26
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Jacob Lopez
opposing pitcher era
5.81
park factor
97
career vs pitcher line
Career vs Jacob Lopez: Yordan Alvarez is 1-5 (.200) with 1 HR.
statcast line
Statcast: 16.1% barrel rate, 53.8% hard-hit across 678 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
100.2
barrel rate
16.1
hard hit rate
53.8
batted ball line
37.6% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 57% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 65% on the season.
air out rate
0.647
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 10 HR in 159 AB (0.497 SLG over 179 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.81
opposing pitcher hr line
Jacob Lopez has allowed 7 HR in 22.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.61 on the season — worse lately.
line
41 HR this season (0.26/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.