EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Kazuma Okamoto
Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays
Published Friday, September 25, 2026
Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 28.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.23 HR/9), against 1.57 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 11.5% barrels, 91 mph average exit velocity, 38.5% fly balls across 52 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against left-handers this season: 10 HR in 145 AB (0.517 SLG over 163 PA).
THE NUMBERS
rank
12
player id
672960
player name
Kazuma Okamoto
team
Toronto Blue Jays
match
Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays
odds
+475
odds source
market
season hr
33
hr rate per game
0.22
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
5
opposing pitcher
Nick Lodolo
opposing pitcher era
5.16
park factor
109
statcast line
Statcast: 13.1% barrel rate, 44.1% hard-hit across 625 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
60.4
barrel rate
13.1
hard hit rate
44.1
batted ball line
34.2% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 54% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 59% on the season.
air out rate
0.593
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 10 HR in 145 AB (0.517 SLG over 163 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.23
opposing pitcher hr line
Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 28.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.23 HR/9), against 1.57 on the season — worse lately.
line
33 HR this season (0.22/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.