Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros

5 HR this season (0.11/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

Published Thursday, September 3, 2026

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

676369

player name

Nelson Velázquez

team

Houston Astros

match

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros

odds

+260

odds source

estimated

season hr

hr rate per game

0.11

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Luis Castillo

opposing pitcher era

5.45

park factor

115

statcast line

Statcast: 13.3% barrel rate, 63.3% hard-hit across 100 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

52.7

barrel rate

13.3

hard hit rate

63.3

batted ball line

36.7% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.94

opposing pitcher hr line

Luis Castillo has allowed 7 HR in 21.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.94 HR/9), against 2.31 on the season — worse lately.

line

5 HR this season (0.11/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.