EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Nelson Velázquez
Houston Astros vs Athletics
Published Friday, September 25, 2026
Jacob Lopez has allowed 7 HR in 22.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.61 on the season — worse lately. Against left-handers this season: 4 HR in 55 AB (0.473 SLG over 63 PA). 7 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.62 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).
THE NUMBERS
rank
10
player id
676369
player name
Nelson Velázquez
team
Houston Astros
match
Houston Astros vs Athletics
odds
+325
odds source
market
season hr
6
hr rate per game
0.12
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
2
opposing pitcher
Jacob Lopez
opposing pitcher era
5.81
park factor
97
statcast line
Statcast: 14.1% barrel rate, 62.5% hard-hit across 111 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
62.6
barrel rate
14.1
hard hit rate
62.5
batted ball line
37.5% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 4 HR in 55 AB (0.473 SLG over 63 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.81
opposing pitcher hr line
Jacob Lopez has allowed 7 HR in 22.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.81 HR/9), against 1.61 on the season — worse lately.
line
6 HR this season (0.12/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.