EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Alec Burleson
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Published Saturday, September 26, 2026
Over his last 21 days: 14.9% barrels, 92.5 mph average exit velocity, 25.5% fly balls across 47 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 17.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.07 HR/9), against 0.95 on the season — worse lately. 2 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 3 in his last 15 (0.29 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.16 on the season).
THE NUMBERS
rank
4
player id
676475
player name
Alec Burleson
team
St. Louis Cardinals
match
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
odds
+650
odds source
market
season hr
25
hr rate per game
0.16
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Dustin May
opposing pitcher era
4.78
park factor
103
statcast line
Statcast: 11.1% barrel rate, 50% hard-hit across 664 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
76.9
barrel rate
11.1
hard hit rate
50
batted ball line
26.5% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.487
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 22 HR in 410 AB (0.546 SLG over 462 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.07
opposing pitcher hr line
Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 17.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.07 HR/9), against 0.95 on the season — worse lately.
line
25 HR this season (0.16/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.