EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Mickey Gasper
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 26.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.10 HR/9), against 2.44 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 14.3% barrels, 88.8 mph average exit velocity, 31.4% fly balls across 35 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 7 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.13 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).
THE NUMBERS
rank
6
player id
681508
player name
Mickey Gasper
team
Boston Red Sox
match
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
odds
+220
odds source
estimated
season hr
9
hr rate per game
0.15
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Ian Seymour
opposing pitcher era
4.62
park factor
104
statcast line
Statcast: 10.3% barrel rate, 38.4% hard-hit across 208 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
66.3
barrel rate
10.3
hard hit rate
38.4
batted ball line
31.5% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.52
opposing pitcher hr9
3.1
opposing pitcher hr line
Ian Seymour has allowed 9 HR in 26.1 IP over his last 5 starts (3.10 HR/9), against 2.44 on the season — worse lately.
line
9 HR this season (0.15/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.