Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

30 HR this season (0.22/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

682928

player name

CJ Abrams

team

Washington Nationals

match

Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

odds

+500

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.22

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Casey Mize

opposing pitcher era

3.8

park factor

105

statcast line

Statcast: 10.2% barrel rate, 41% hard-hit across 588 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

77.5

barrel rate

10.2

hard hit rate

batted ball line

29.5% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 68% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 60% on the season.

air out rate

0.598

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 23 HR in 351 AB (0.527 SLG over 409 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.72

opposing pitcher hr line

Casey Mize has allowed 7 HR in 23.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.72 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.

line

30 HR this season (0.22/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.