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Victor Mesa Jr.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 28.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.87 HR/9), against 1.64 on the season — worse lately. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 15.5% barrels, 94 mph average exit velocity, 24.1% fly balls across 58 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against right-handers this season: 12 HR in 162 AB (0.512 SLG over 182 PA).

THE NUMBERS

rank
4
player id
683748
player name
Victor Mesa Jr.
team
Tampa Bay Rays
match
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
odds
+700
odds source
market
season hr
14
hr rate per game
0.19
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Gerrit Cole
opposing pitcher era
3.71
park factor
117
statcast line
Statcast: 11.6% barrel rate, 40.7% hard-hit across 241 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
93.8
barrel rate
11.6
hard hit rate
40.7
batted ball line
32% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.675
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 12 HR in 162 AB (0.512 SLG over 182 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.87
opposing pitcher hr line
Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 28.2 IP over his last 5 starts (2.87 HR/9), against 1.64 on the season — worse lately.
line
14 HR this season (0.19/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.