Victor Mesa Jr.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Published Saturday, October 3, 2026

Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 27.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.96 HR/9), against 1.54 on the season — worse lately. Against right-handers this season: 12 HR in 175 AB (0.503 SLG over 196 PA). 9 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.63 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

683748

player name

Victor Mesa Jr.

team

Tampa Bay Rays

match

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

odds

+650

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.18

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Gerrit Cole

opposing pitcher era

3.7

park factor

104

statcast line

Statcast: 10.8% barrel rate, 42.2% hard-hit across 262 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

63.1

barrel rate

10.8

hard hit rate

42.2

batted ball line

30.8% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 55% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 67% on the season.

air out rate

0.669

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 12 HR in 175 AB (0.503 SLG over 196 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.96

opposing pitcher hr line

Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 27.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.96 HR/9), against 1.54 on the season — worse lately.

line

14 HR this season (0.18/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.