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MLBhr watch

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Published Saturday, September 19, 2026

Over his last 21 days: 21.7% barrels, 94.7 mph average exit velocity, 30% fly balls across 60 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 3 in his last 5, 4 in his last 10, 6 in his last 15 (0.44 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.29 on the season). Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 24.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.59 HR/9), against 1.71 on the season — worse lately.

THE NUMBERS

rank
1
player id
691718
player name
Pete Crow-Armstrong
team
Chicago Cubs
match
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
odds
+280
odds source
market
season hr
44
hr rate per game
0.29
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
6
opposing pitcher
Nick Lodolo
opposing pitcher era
5.26
park factor
118
statcast line
Statcast: 13.5% barrel rate, 49.4% hard-hit across 687 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
113.4
barrel rate
13.5
hard hit rate
49.4
batted ball line
34.9% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.654
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 11 HR in 190 AB (0.521 SLG over 220 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.59
opposing pitcher hr line
Nick Lodolo has allowed 7 HR in 24.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.59 HR/9), against 1.71 on the season — worse lately.
line
44 HR this season (0.29/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.