EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Coby Mayo
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets
Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026
Sean Manaea has allowed 7 HR in 27.5 IP over his last 5 starts (2.29 HR/9), against 1.65 on the season — worse lately. 2 in his last 5, 4 in his last 10, 5 in his last 15 (0.34 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.19 on the season). Over his last 21 days: 14.9% barrels, 88.2 mph average exit velocity, 31.9% fly balls across 47 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
4
player id
691723
player name
Coby Mayo
team
Baltimore Orioles
match
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets
odds
+400
odds source
market
season hr
23
hr rate per game
0.19
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
5
opposing pitcher
Sean Manaea
opposing pitcher era
4.81
park factor
101
statcast line
Statcast: 12.9% barrel rate, 48% hard-hit across 407 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
71.1
barrel rate
12.9
hard hit rate
48
batted ball line
34.3% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 50% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 60% on the season.
air out rate
0.604
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 16 HR in 137 AB (0.737 SLG over 151 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.29
opposing pitcher hr line
Sean Manaea has allowed 7 HR in 27.5 IP over his last 5 starts (2.29 HR/9), against 1.65 on the season — worse lately.
line
23 HR this season (0.19/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.