EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Carter Jensen
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Over his last 21 days: 25% barrels, 94.4 mph average exit velocity, 43.2% fly balls across 44 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 2 in his last 5, 3 in his last 10, 6 in his last 15 (0.35 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.17 on the season). Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 346 AB (0.488 SLG over 401 PA).
THE NUMBERS
rank
7
player id
695600
player name
Carter Jensen
team
Kansas City Royals
match
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
odds
+383
odds source
market
season hr
24
hr rate per game
0.17
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
6
opposing pitcher
Cristian Javier
opposing pitcher era
6.52
park factor
115
statcast line
Statcast: 12.2% barrel rate, 45% hard-hit across 558 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
78.1
barrel rate
12.2
hard hit rate
45
batted ball line
37.6% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 61% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 67% on the season.
air out rate
0.665
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 346 AB (0.488 SLG over 401 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.88
opposing pitcher hr line
Cristian Javier has allowed 5 HR in 24.0 IP over his last 5 starts (1.88 HR/9).
line
24 HR this season (0.17/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.