EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays
22 HR this season (0.17/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
Published Saturday, August 29, 2026
THE NUMBERS
rank
8
player id
701538
player name
Jackson Merrill
team
San Diego Padres
match
San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays
odds
+625
odds source
market
season hr
22
hr rate per game
0.17
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Nick Martinez
opposing pitcher era
2.99
park factor
104
statcast line
Statcast: 11.4% barrel rate, 46.7% hard-hit across 549 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
60.2
barrel rate
11.4
hard hit rate
46.7
batted ball line
30.3% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 69% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 59% on the season.
air out rate
0.59
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 18 HR in 362 AB (0.428 SLG over 398 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.84
opposing pitcher hr line
Nick Martinez has allowed 6 HR in 29.4 IP over his last 5 starts (1.84 HR/9), against 1.36 on the season — worse lately.
line
22 HR this season (0.17/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.