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MLBhr watch

Jackson Merrill

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Published Sunday, September 20, 2026

Over his last 21 days: 21.3% barrels, 96 mph average exit velocity, 31.1% fly balls across 61 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 12.1% barrels, 91.9 mph average exit velocity, 37.9% fly balls across 58 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 1 in his last 5, 4 in his last 10, 4 in his last 15 (0.27 a game weighted toward the most recent, 0.17 on the season).

THE NUMBERS

rank
3
player id
701538
player name
Jackson Merrill
team
San Diego Padres
match
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres
odds
+475
odds source
market
season hr
26
hr rate per game
0.17
hr in last10
3
hr in last15
4
opposing pitcher
Sandy Alcantara
opposing pitcher era
3.9
park factor
105
statcast line
Statcast: 12.6% barrel rate, 49.3% hard-hit across 636 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
77.1
barrel rate
12.6
hard hit rate
49.3
batted ball line
30.4% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%).
air out rate
0.587
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 419 AB (0.446 SLG over 461 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
1.6
opposing pitcher hr line
Sandy Alcantara has allowed 5 HR in 28.1 IP over his last 5 starts (1.60 HR/9), against 1.05 on the season — worse lately.
line
26 HR this season (0.17/game) · 3 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.