EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Jackson Merrill
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately. Over his last 21 days: 14.3% barrels, 94.4 mph average exit velocity, 30.6% fly balls across 49 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 13.3% barrels, 91.1 mph average exit velocity, 15.6% fly balls across 45 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
3
player id
701538
player name
Jackson Merrill
team
San Diego Padres
match
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
odds
+550
odds source
market
season hr
26
hr rate per game
0.16
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
2
opposing pitcher
Kevin Gausman
opposing pitcher era
4.63
park factor
105
statcast line
Statcast: 12.4% barrel rate, 48.7% hard-hit across 664 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
76.5
barrel rate
12.4
hard hit rate
48.7
batted ball line
29.8% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 44% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 58% on the season.
air out rate
0.576
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 438 AB (0.441 SLG over 481 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.73
opposing pitcher hr line
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.
line
26 HR this season (0.16/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.