Jackson Merrill

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately. Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 438 AB (0.441 SLG over 481 PA). 3 home runs in his last 4 starts (2.06 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).

THE NUMBERS

rank

player id

701538

player name

Jackson Merrill

team

San Diego Padres

match

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

odds

+614

odds source

market

season hr

hr rate per game

0.16

hr in last10

hr in last15

opposing pitcher

Dustin May

opposing pitcher era

4.8

park factor

105

statcast line

Statcast: 12.4% barrel rate, 48.7% hard-hit across 664 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).

hr score

39.4

barrel rate

12.4

hard hit rate

48.7

batted ball line

29.8% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 44% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 58% on the season.

air out rate

0.576

platoon line

Against right-handers this season: 20 HR in 438 AB (0.441 SLG over 481 PA).

opposing pitcher hr9

2.21

opposing pitcher hr line

Dustin May has allowed 4 HR in 16.3 IP over his last 5 starts (2.21 HR/9), against 1.06 on the season — worse lately.

line

26 HR this season (0.16/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.